This is it! The final Thursday without NFL Football until 2026! The pre-season is over, cuts have been made, practice squads are filling out and players are on the move! Now that the NFL teams have finalized their in-season rosters, it is a great time to run an audit on your dynasty fantasy rosters. It’s important to analyze the end of your benches, find the players that no longer carry value and the spots where your team could use a boost. The best way to do this is to make sure your league is uploaded into the DLF League Sync tool! The tool grades out your roster to help you identify your weak spots. Then you can check out the other rosters in your leagues to find an opportunity to trade strength for strength. It’s also compatible with other tools on the site, including the rankings and the trade tool. It’s my favorite service that we provide over at DLF, and it’s definitely one that everybody should be taking advantage of. 

Moving on to the news, cuts have been made across the NFL. For full coverage on Tuesday’s action, check out Ken Kelly's running live blog for reaction and dynasty fantasy football analysis. Among the most surprising cuts we have the Browns parting ways with Diontae Johnson and the Jets giving up on 2024 third-round pick Malachi Corley. Corley had upside coming out of college, but he clearly didn’t embrace the culture in Orchard Park. He’ll look for a second chance somewhere else, but dynasty managers should be ready to hit that drop button on him. Johnson continues to bounce around the league and just isn’t sticking anywhere. The talent is certainly there, but the problem seems to be between the ears for him. If you’re still stashing Johnson at the end of your roster, then you can go ahead and cut him now. Other notable names who were cut day victims include Audric Estime, Blake Watson, Pierre Strong, Cam Akers, Damien Martinez and Xavier Restrepo. 

The contract holdouts have mostly wrapped up. Terry McLaurin got his deal done in Washington while the Bengals and Trey Hendrickson settled on a compromise to keep him happy for this season.While those wrapped up, another dispute popped up out of nowhere in Las Vegas. Jakobi Meyers has officially requested a trade from the Raiders, a week and a half prior to the start of the regular season. Right after that news broke, the Raiders said they weren’t interested in moving on from Meyers, but they also went out and signed veteran wide receiver Amari Cooper. Meyers has a great opportunity in Vegas to lead this team in wide receiver targets, and he may not get that opportunity somewhere else. Personally, I don’t believe the Raiders will move on from Meyers, and he’ll play for the black and silver this season. Meanwhile, Cooper will compete with the Raiders’ two rookie receivers for snaps. 

With the roster cutdowns come official injury designations. Joe Mixon and Tyjae Spears highlighted the players who will start the NFL season on the active/PUP list, meaning they will both miss at least the first four games of the season. Mixon was expected, and his dynasty value has been dropping like a brick because of it. Spears was a pre-season injury, but we knew he would miss some time. Tony Pollard has quietly become an outstanding value for fantasy football. If he gets off to a great start, I’d consider selling high on Pollard before Spears comes back to the team. 

Finally, the quarterback competition that nobody cared about has finally been resolved. Spencer Rattler will get the first shot to run the Saints offense after he beat out rookie Tyler Shough for the role. I’d bet that the Saints will use a first-round pick on quarterback next season, probably very, very early on in the draft. Could Arch Manning follow in the footsteps of his grandfather and namesake down to Bourbon Street? 

The start of the NFL season is finally on the horizon! You have one more week to make the best of your off-season and bulk up your team with the waiver wire and in trades. Good luck, and let’s get ready to start winning next week!

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Tuesday was supposed to be the day that the NFL world focused on the cuts being made around the league. Instead, Travis Kelce dropped to a knee and proposed to the biggest pop star in the world. Of course, it’s a love story, so Taylor Swift said yes. Kelce mulled retirement this off-season, but decided to come back because of the lost Super Bowl. He doesn’t want to retire on that note, but does that mean that this will be his final season, or will he give us just one more time, one more time? Let’s dive into his ADP and value in dynasty fantasy football leagues.

Thirty-six-year-old tight ends are never going to be dynasty targets, but that doesn’t mean there is no value. Even if this is his final season in the league, he still has a chance to win dynasty championships for managers in 2024 — maybe giving them that enchanted run to remember. His ADP has plummeted over the last 12 months. His age is an issue, but he is also coming off of an underwhelming season. He’s the TE14 in ADP right now, going off the board at 123 overall. Meanwhile, the DLF Expert Rankers have him at TE15, down at 131 overall. 

Despite his “down” season, Kelce still put up monster numbers. He caught 97 balls (3rd amongst tight ends) on 133 targets (also 3rd at the position). He was fifth at the position with 833 yards, but the three touchdowns was the biggest letdown. It was a career-low for Kelce (other than his rookie season where he only played one game), so it’s reasonable to expect a bounceback for him there. But Kelce also had career lows in explosive play rate, yards per catch, yards after the catch and EPA/target. Kelce has absolutely lost a step, so buyer beware if you’re trying to snatch him up. In other words, if you trade for him expecting the old Kelce, you might be setting yourself up for a little Bad Blood.

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THE TEN MOST OVERRATED PLAYERS IN DYNASTY LEAGUES

Which of my players have I been holding on to for too long? Who should I be moving away from in order to keep my team competitive now and in the future? These are the questions that dynasty managers continually ask themselves in preparation for the upcoming season. Identifying players to move on from while their value is high is a key to gaining an advantage over your league mates in dynasty.

Context:

• All player finishes reference half PPR scoring formats

• PFF grades and rankings reference Pro Football Focus’ analysis of player or team performance

• Player rankings reference DLF’s 1QB rankings

Kyler Murray, QB ARI

1QB 85 Overall QB10

On paper, Murray checks all the boxes for a starting quarterback in fantasy. He has quality weapons, provides a rushing floor and has signed a long-term extension. Finishing QB10 overall in 2024, Murray is coming off an up-and-down season that saw him finish as a top ten weekly finisher at the position just five times during the fantasy season, weeks one through seventeen. But it’s his long-term outlook that has me skeptical of Murray being ranked as a top-ten dynasty QB. Arizona’s lack of success since selecting Murray number one overall in the 2019 NFL Draft must be leaving ownership feeling impatient, as the team is just 36-45-1 in games Murray has started. In his six seasons, the team has finished with a winning record just once and has yet to win a playoff game. If the results don’t improve quickly, the Cardinals could look to move on in the coming years. That’s where Murray’s contract comes into play.

Carrying a massive dead cap hits of over $57 million in each of the next two seasons, Murray’s job is safe through 2026. Beyond that, the team can move on at a much more reasonable $7.2 million dead cap hit entering 2027. An examination of the QBs ranked directly behind Murray shows signal callers with longer runways to succeed with their current teams and a premium should be placed on that type of future certainty in dynasty.

Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC

1QB 97 Overall QB14

Billed as the savior in Jacksonville, Lawrence has done very little to elevate dynasty rosters to this point in his career. A QB8 overall finish in 2022 had managers quickly forgetting his disastrous rookie campaign, but that season represents Lawrence’s only top 12 QB finish to date. Admittedly, I’m willing to leave the light on for a resurgence from the Clemson product. Between Brian Thomas Jr, and Travis Hunter, Lawrence has the offensive weapons to succeed and averages just over 300 rushing yards per season for his career. At just 26 years of age, time is on his side, but QB14 is simply too rich for my blood.