THERE IS NO OFF-SEASON

ISSUE #49

The long NFL off-season is only about a week old, and it’s tough to not miss the beautiful game already. Hopefully, you’ve taken advantage of the extra free time this week. Maybe you spent time with your family, brought your significant other out for a wonderful Valentine’s Day date. Thankfully, the Olympic Games have been filling in the sports void, especially for fans of the niche-est of niche sports. For me, I dove right back into dynasty fantasy football! On the Sunday after the Super Bowl, my first dynasty startup draft of the off-season began, and I’m thrilled with my start so far! Drafting from the 4th spot, I started my team off with a Cincinnati stack! In the first draft of this superflex draft, I selected Ja’Marr Chase. As the second round progressed, Joe Burrow continued to drop, so I finally decided to make a trade to move up a few spots to get Chase’s quarterback. I had to give up my third-round pick to get it done, but it’s exciting to get the best stack in the game as the centerpiece of this team. 

In the NFL world, the headlines were dominated by the Miami Dolphins. Their off-season makeover began this week, highlighted by the releases of Bradley Chubb and Tyreek Hill. Hill’s release isn’t a surprise, but it leaves us with plenty of questions. Hill’s season ended with a torn ACL and a dislocated left knee, and his rehab is expected to extend well into the 2026 season. Hill is a few weeks away from turning 32, and everywhere he goes, trouble seems to follow. A team will certainly sign him this off-season, giving him a chance to get back to his elite self, but it’s clear that he’s much closer to the end of his career than the beginning. Hill dynasty managers should be rooting for an outstanding landing spot (Buffalo would be ideal), and try to sell him for as much as they can. Jaylen Waddle will have a massive opportunity to be the lead receiver on this team, but who will be his quarterback? 

Meanwhile, the Fins are reportedly trying to find a trade partner for Tua Tagovailoa, rather than straight up releasing him. Quinn Ewers is on the team, and will likely be given a chance to compete for the starting job, but they’ll certainly bring in someone to face off against him. Malik Willis could be a candidate to land in Miami, or they could look to spend an early pick on a quarterback in the draft. Tagovailoa, on the other hand, won’t go someplace where he’ll be guaranteed a starting job. He’ll need to win the job away from someone, who will likely be the favorite to win the job. 

On the prospect side of things, we’re in a slow period of the process while the prospects are training up for the NFL Combine. Drills in Indianapolis will start one week from today, with the tight ends taking the field on Friday and the other fantasy-relevant players competing on Saturday. DLF will have wall-to-wall coverage of the Combine, but you should be gearing yourself up for the event right now! Check out our 2026 Dynasty Rookie Early Look profiles for an introduction to the top rookies that are most likely to be fantasy football stars for the years to come. DLF is the subscription that you need to have to win the dynasty fantasy football off-season. That’s because, at DLF, there truly is no off-season!

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In the same dynasty startup draft I discussed above, I was able to get Breece Hall at the end of the fifth round. He was the RB12 in that draft and the 59th overall player taken off the board. This is a league where we only start one running back, but it seemed like a significant discount for a player that should see his value rise this off-season. With that said, let’s dive into Hall’s ADP and see if he presents a buy-low opportunity in dynasty fantasy football leagues. 

Breece Hall’s Dynasty ADP History, per DLF

Hall’s ADP in January was the lowest it’s ever been, dating back to before he was even drafted by the Jets in the second round of the 2022 NFL Draft. He’s the 12th running back off the board in single-quarterback drafts, going off the board as the 41st overall player. I’m a bit shocked to see his ADP plummeting like it is, when he’s about to hit free agency and, hopefully, finally, get away from the New York Jets. Hall begged the team to trade him this past season at the trade deadline, but management wanted to hold out for a better deal than they were being offered. So Hall is likely to hit the open market this Spring, and almost every single potential landing spot for him is an upgrade over Gang Green. We’ve seen that Hall has RB1 upside, based on his RB2 finish in 2023, but he’s been mismanaged and held back by the Jets coaching staff and terrible offenses. His DLF Expert Ranking is a bit higher than the ADP, RB11, and 36 overall off the board, but it’s also the lowest it’s ever been

If the public sentiment around Hall is as bad as his ADP appears to be, then he’s going to be a priority target for me this off-season. Hall is an elite pass-catcher, with the ability to be an explosive runner. Behind the Jets’ offensive line, he’s been held to a 4.38 and 4.19 YPC the last two seasons, but he has the upside to reach 5 or more YPC, just like he did in 2022. On top of that, he’s one of the best pass-catching backs in the league, and should be getting 80+ targets every season, unlike the 48 he got in 2025. Hall is healthy, and he’s going to earn a massive contract in free agency. The buy-low window is wide open before he signs with a new team in the next couple of weeks. Free Agency in the NFL starts on March 11, so the clock is officially ticking!

Eric Hardter previews the 2026 free agency class at quarterback. 

Ryan McDowell simulates a superflex rookie mock draft, based on an expert NFL Mock Draft.  

Rob Willette highlights four young players who are at a dynasty crossroads.

DYNASTY TRENDING OBSERVATIONS

The Super Bowl is in the books, and the 2025 NFL season has officially come to an end, which just means the 2026 season has begun in dynasty leagues. Below are some of the key storylines to monitor as your leagues get renewed.

Sam’s the Man

The Seahawks put a bow on their fairy tale season last Sunday, dominating the Patriots in the Super Bowl and removing all doubt about who the best team in the NFL was in 2025. The end result was considered a surprise, considering where Seattle was just a year ago. They were coming off a 10-7 season but missed the playoffs and re-tooled immediately, surprisingly trading starting quarterback Geno Smith to the Raiders while immediately signing Sam Darnold to replace him. Needless to say, the Super Bowl wasn’t what people were thinking after that series of moves, yet here we are.

And while the Seahawks have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball, most of the on-field credit will go to Darnold. Darnold’s bounce-back story might be even bigger than the Seahawks’ considering the roller coaster it’s been. Drafted third overall by the Jets in 2018, Darnold was deemed a failure before being shipped off to Carolina after three seasons. After some time as both a backup and starter in Carolina, he signed a backup deal with the 49ers before signing another (at the time) backup deal with the Vikings. But when Vikings rookie JJ McCarthy went down before the 2024 season even started, Darnold stepped up and led the Vikings to their best regular season in 26 years while also making the Pro Bowl. Darnold then parlayed that into a starting job with Seattle, and the rest is history.

Of course, dynasty managers of Darnold don’t care nearly as much about the Seahawks’ success as much as Darnold’s. So, how does Darnold’s career path affect his dynasty value?

Dynasty Impact: Darnold’s career real-life value certainly mirrors his dynasty/fantasy value: showing the potential that comes with a top-three pick, followed by years as a backup before getting another chance at starting and taking full advantage.

For Darnold’s fantasy stats, that’s meant being a borderline QB1 in these last two seasons. In 2024, he played under presumed quarterback whisperer Kevin O’Connell and had All-Pro Justin Jefferson on his team. That led to a top-ten fantasy finish after throwing for over 4,000 yards and 35 touchdowns, but after heading to Seattle, the question was always going to be if he could replicate that success outside of that very favorable fantasy situation.  And the answer, as he showed this year, was a resounding yes. His touchdowns were down (25), but he still threw for 4,000-plus yards and a top-15 fantasy finish.

Going forward, that’s exactly how Darnold should be viewed when it comes to fantasy value. After winning a championship, he’ll be locked into the Seattle starting job for the foreseeable future. He also has his own All-Pro at receiver in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who should also be sticking around.

Don’t go nuts in trying to acquire Darnold, but don’t dismiss it either, especially in superflex leagues.

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