BEYOND THE PAYWALL

Building Block or Bait?

Steady. Boring. Productive. What do you do with that?

Michael Pittman Jr. saw 111 targets in 2024 — ranking him 26th among qualifying WRs — and finished with 69 receptions for 808 yards. He was the Colts' unquestioned No. 1, earning a hefty three-year, $71.5 million extension a year ago. In a league where target volume is rare, Pittman brings it. But dynasty managers aren’t hyped. He lands outside the top 40 WRs in most startup ADPs.

So what do you do with a productive receiver everyone’s tired of? This or That?

This — Hold and let the volume pay the bills.

  • 📬 111 targets, ~7.0 per game — top‑25 in NFL volume

  • 🔗 Anthony Richardson’s potential growth could lift his per-target efficiency (or perhaps more likely, he may benefit from a switch to Daniel Jones under center)

  • 💸 Signed through 2027 — no threat to his target share

  • 🏆 Contending teams need floor, not flash. He brings it.

That — Sell before the hype dips further.

  • 🚫 League-worst aDOT among WR1s — volume doesn’t equal upside

  • 💡 Josh Downs and Adonai Mitchell both threaten long-term role

  • 📉 Already 27 years old — no value spike is coming

  • 💰 Could still get a future 1st from a team chasing safety

Verdict: That.

If you’re rebuilding or trying to retool, this is the time to move Pittman. His dynasty value won’t rise — even if his stat lines stay strong. He’s a WR2 in production and WR3 in trade appeal, and once that volume inevitably regresses, you’ll be stuck with a name no one wants to buy. He’s the perfect player to flip for a younger WR or future 1st while the perception of reliability still holds weight.

🔓 Use our Dynasty Trade Analyzer to unlock Pittman’s current value and suggested players and picks with a similar value.

🔍 Want to find recent Pittman trades? Use the DLF Trade Finder and see what he’s actually worth.

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